The Iran war is the dominant macro force today. European stocks closed higher after a choppy session. Oil price moves are feeding inflation concerns globally. Gold is heading for a weekly loss as high crude prices shift the narrative. The Bank of England and ECB both held rates, keeping monetary policy on hold as geopolitical risk clouds the outlook.
Japan's yen is in focus. Tokyo threatened fresh FX intervention during the golden week period. The yen's sensitivity to the Middle East conflict has risen sharply. Investors are watching closely.
Today's results flow was busy. Astera Labs beat Q1 estimates and issued strong Q2 guidance. The AI connectivity chip designer is riding data centre demand. Lucid Group produced 5,500 vehicles in Q1 and delivered 3,093. Both figures landed today and will be closely watched by EV bears — short interest on the stock remains elevated. VSE Corporation dramatically raised its full-year revenue guidance from a $1.37B midpoint to a $1.77B midpoint, crushing the consensus estimate.
Bears remain active in beaten-up names. Wolfspeed carries 51.6% SI % FF with near-zero borrow availability at 0.8%. GameStop shorts climbed to 17.1% of free float. Meanwhile in options markets, semiconductor names dominate two-way flow. NVIDIA and Micron are seeing heavy call activity on AI momentum. 30-year Treasury yields pressing 5% are driving protective hedging across equities.
Renewable energy funds attracted their biggest inflows in five years. Investors are reframing the energy security argument amid the Iran conflict. Jane Street paid employees $9.4 billion in 2025 — a record — reflecting the volatility windfall trading firms captured last year.
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