Markets Weigh AI ETF Buzz, Micron Earnings, and Rate Shock

Macro: A Hawkish Shift Rattles Markets

The biggest macro story today is a sharp repricing of Fed rate expectations. Markets now price in a rate rise, triggering a reversal in emerging market and commodity currencies. The shift is upending global FX positions. European stocks slid alongside US equities. Chip stocks rebounded but that wasn't enough to keep the S&P 500 green by the close.

A US-Iran deal also drew attention. Iranian cargo ships are heading home after Washington reached an agreement with Tehran. Oil moved lower as supply fears eased.

US: FAB 10 ETF Filing Sparks AI Names

ProShares filed for a new "FAB 10" ETF. It would bundle private AI giants — OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX — alongside public names NVDA, TSLA, META, AMZN, and MSFT. The filing is drawing attention as a vehicle for retail investors to gain exposure to private AI companies. It puts AI infrastructure back in focus ahead of MU Micron's Q3 earnings on Wednesday. Heavy put buying has already been seen around the $80 strike.

Analysts cut targets on ACN and LULU today. Both names reflect broader caution on growth stocks. Short sellers remain active in AI and chips — CBRS saw SI % FF climb to 32.4%, with zero availability.

Europe: Big Deals and Rate Pressure

Reliance Industries filed for India's biggest-ever IPO — a listing of its Jio telecoms unit. In the UK, the Bank of England plans to ease capital rules for investment bank trading desks, a move that boosted European financials. Ukraine ratified a €105 billion EU loan, supporting the euro but extending defense sector outperformance.

SpaceX is pursuing a $20 billion bond deal following its record IPO debut.