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Trading Ideas
Data-driven setups on US large-caps, published each trading day. Every idea is built from ORTEX's own datasets — short interest, cost-to-borrow, options positioning, analyst movement — and carries a dated catalyst plus a backtested historical edge. This page shows the opening line of each; the reasoning, evidence and backtest are an ORTEX subscriber benefit.
Latest ideas
Oppenheimer Reports Tomorrow: Nine of Ten Same-Quarter Prints Closed Higher
Oppenheimer Holdings' earnings history points to a remarkably consistent pattern ahead of tomorrow's Q3 2026 print. In nine of the ten comparable same-quarter reporting events on record, the…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →NOG Has Beaten Consensus 10 Quarters Running, Earnings Due in Six Days
Northern Oil and Gas has beaten consensus EPS estimates in ten consecutive quarters and, in every one of the same-quarter earnings prints going back across the data, the…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Russell 2000 Inclusion Forecast Brings $207M of Mechanical Buying to TRLV
Trulieve Cannabis Corp. sits at a market capitalisation of approximately $2.0 billion, well above the Russell 2000 joining threshold, and ORTEX puts the probability of a December 2026…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →LII Faces $740M of Forced Buying as Index Trackers Prepare to Rebalance
Lennox International's pending addition to the MSCI World Small and MSCI USA Small indices, forecast by ORTEX at 95% probability, should bring an estimated $740 million of mechanically…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Horace Mann Has Beaten Consensus Nine Quarters Running, Q3 Is Six Days Away
Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) reports Q3 2026 results on November 3, six trading days from now. The company's earnings history points to a remarkably consistent pattern: it…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Telecom Argentina Has Closed Higher After This Quarter's Print Eight Times Running
Telecom Argentina's earnings history points to a consistent and unbroken pattern: in every one of the eight comparable same-quarter prints on record, the stock closed higher across the…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →TPB Has Beaten Consensus 11 of 12 Quarters, The Next Print Is in Seven Days
Turning Point Brands has a near-perfect recent record of surprising to the upside at earnings, beating consensus EPS in 11 of the last 12 quarters, and every one…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →IIPR Has Closed Higher After This Quarter's Print Eight Times Running
Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) heads into its Q3 2026 earnings report on 30 October with an unblemished same-quarter seasonal record: the stock has closed higher in every one…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Parker-Hannifin Has Beaten Consensus 12 Quarters Running. It Reports Tomorrow.
Parker-Hannifin Corporation reports earnings on 28 October 2026, one day away. Its earnings history presents a striking case for the upcoming print: the company has beaten consensus EPS…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Proto Labs Has Beaten Consensus 12 Times Running. Print Is Thursday.
Proto Labs PRLB reports Q3 2026 results on 29 October, and its earnings history argues consistently in favour of the long side. The company has beaten consensus EPS…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Russell 2000 Addition Looms for Olin as $257M of Tracker Flow Approaches
Olin Corporation trades at approximately $15.94, near the bottom 8% of its 12-month range, and ORTEX puts the probability of its addition to the Russell 2000 at 90%…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →LandBridge Faces $116M of Forced Buying With 48 Days to the Effective Date
LandBridge Corporation trades at approximately $79.58 with ORTEX putting the probability of a Russell 1000 addition at 73% ahead of the December 2026 Semi-Annual Review. If confirmed on…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Acushnet Has Closed Higher After This Quarter's Print Nine Times in a Row
Acushnet Holdings Corp. GOLF carries an unblemished earnings-reaction record for this same quarter across nine prior occurrences, with the stock closing higher in every instance and an average…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →SPG Has Closed Higher After This Quarter's Print Every Time for a Decade
Simon Property Group's earnings history points to a remarkably consistent seasonal pattern: the stock has closed higher in the five trading days following its Q3 earnings announcement in…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →MPT Faces Russell 2000 Addition as $189M Tracker Flow Meets 29% Short Interest
Medical Properties Trust faces a near-certain transition from the Russell 1000 to the Russell 2000 at the December 2026 Semi-Annual Review, with ORTEX placing the probability of the…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →FNF Faces $410M of Forced Buying as Index Trackers Prepare to Reposition
Fidelity National Financial (FNF) sits at the bottom of its 12-month price range, down roughly 21% year-to-date, yet faces a mechanically driven demand event that has nothing to…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Lyntris Faces $53M Tracker Wave With the Stock Near 12-Month Lows
Lyntris Inc. is a candidate for addition to the S&P Completion Index at the December 2026 Quarterly Review, with ORTEX putting the probability at 83%. If confirmed, index-tracking…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Moog Sits 8.9% Above the Russell 1000 Entry Line With Trackers Waiting
Moog Inc. trades at a market capitalisation of approximately $10.8 billion, sitting 8.9% above the price level at which its Russell 1000 addition becomes mechanically confirmed. ORTEX puts…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →Axos Beats Consensus 11 of 12 Quarters, Print Due Monday
Axos Financial's earnings history points to a consistent pattern of positive post-report price performance ahead of its October 26 print. The company has beaten normalized EPS consensus in…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →MIAX: Peers Signal Upside Six Days Before the Print
Miami International Holdings (MIAX) heads into its Q3 2026 earnings on October 29 with every reported peer in its GICS group having beaten or surprised positively this season,…
Read the full idea on ORTEX →What's in a Trading Idea
Each idea names a stock and a direction, and sets out why the setup is live now rather than on any other day. It carries the evidence it rests on, a dated catalyst the setup resolves around, the cross-checks that agree — and those that disagree — and a backtest of how the same setup resolved historically.
Ideas are generated from quantitative screens across the US $1bn+ universe and reviewed before publication. The opening line of each is public; the analysis is available to ORTEX subscribers.
Trading Ideas are informational and educational content, generated by AI from ORTEX data. They are not investment advice, a personal recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Historical and backtested performance does not predict future results. Nothing here takes account of your objectives, financial situation, or needs — do your own research or consult a licensed adviser before acting.