ORTEXORTEX News

Articles

Trader notes, earnings previews, Confluences, weekly digests and roundups — long-form analysis grounded in ORTEX short interest, options flow and analyst data.

All articles — 32012 total

ConfluenceASST

ASST Borrow Pool Hits 52-Week Tightest as CTB Jumps 74%

ASST has now climbed 43% in a week and 90% over the past month. The borrow market has not loosened to match — it has done the opposite. Availability has dropped to 6%. That means roughly one share remains available for…

1 min read
ConfluenceSOXX

SOXX Bears Retreat — But the Borrow Market Says Not Yet

Why this matters: Short sellers are covering. The data is clear on that. But the lending market tells a more cautious story — availability remains very tight, and the ETF's options positioning has normalised far faster…

1 min read
ConfluenceCVX

CVX Options Traders Turn Defensive as Bears Exit

CVX has pulled back to $199.77, down 2.9% on the week, as the $196–$200 support band flagged in Tuesday's note faces its sharpest test yet. Three separate data streams converged this week — but the signal worth…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Jackson Hole in Focus as Markets Brace for Warsh

All eyes are on Kevin Warsh today. The Fed chair speaks at Jackson Hole this morning. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures are dipping ahead of the address. Markets want signals on the rate path. Any hawkish tone could…

1 min read
ConfluenceMMED

MMED Borrow Cost Triples in Three Days Before Earnings

MiniMed Group reports on September 1. The lending market has moved sharply since the last note two days ago — cost to borrow has nearly tripled, and options defensiveness has held firm. Two days ago, cost to borrow…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Earnings Season Sparks Broad Target Hikes

Analysts lifted targets across retail, tech, and industrials this week. The moves follow a busy round of quarterly results. Ulta Beauty drew one of the biggest upgrades. The consensus target rose to $624.50 from…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Insiders Cash Out Across Biotech and Finance

Board members at ILMN have been filing heavy sell orders. Keith Meister and Corvex Management unloaded a combined $293M in Illumina shares. The filings hit August 6 and August 21. Both sellers sit on the board as asset…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Bears Pile Into Klaviyo and HighPeak

Short sellers made bold moves this week. KVYO saw one of the sharpest increases among mid-cap names. SI % FF jumped from 13.2% to 20.0% in just seven days — a +6.8 percentage point swing. That's a big bet against the…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Bonds and Japan Win; US Equities Bleed

The dominant story this week is a sharp rotation out of US equities and into fixed income, commodities, and international markets. The US geography bucket logged a $24.2B net outflow over the past week, with a flow…

1 min read
ConfluenceSNPS

Baird Upgrades SNPS as Bulls Take Control Post-Earnings

Synopsys jumped 13.4% on August 27 to $464.89. The earnings beat triggered a wave of bullish repositioning across multiple data sets simultaneously. Why this matters: Three distinct signals — analyst upgrades, options…

1 min read
Market Commentary

End-of-Summer Heat: Earnings, Squeezes, and a $562M Bet

Bill Gates dominated insider headlines this week. He filed purchases of $562 million in RSG stock between August 10 and August 25. Republic Services is a slow-and-steady waste management play — exactly the kind of…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Earnings Flood as Summer Winds Down

Nearly 450 US/Canada companies and over 550 European firms report this week. It is one of the busiest end-of-summer stretches on record. BeOne Medicines kicks off today with its latest results. The $42 billion oncology…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Barclays Lifts Airbnb; Agilent Jumps Too

Analysts delivered a wave of upward target price revisions Thursday. The sharpest single-analyst move came from Barclays, which raised its target on ABNB from $125 to $150. The bank kept its Hold rating but the 20%…

1 min read
Earnings PreviewBULL

Webull Reports Again as Insiders Sell Into the Rally

BULL heads into its August 28 earnings report having just gained 27% over the past month — and with its own executives quietly selling into that strength. The insider signal is the sharpest edge of this setup.…

1 min read
Earnings PreviewLOT

Lotus Technology Shorts Retreat as Stock Surges 44%

LOT heads into its August 28 earnings print on a sharp momentum swing — up 44% over the past month — even as the broader short-seller community is pulling back. The borrow picture reflects that retreat. Short interest…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Gates Pours $562M Into Waste Giant

Bill Gates filed this week that he has been steadily buying RSG stock all month. The filings show he spent $562 million on Republic Services shares between August 10 and August 25. That works out to roughly 2.57…

1 min read
Market Commentary

Bears Pile In on Klaviyo and HighPeak

Short sellers made sharp moves this week. Two names stand out for sudden increases in bearish bets. KVYO saw its Short Interest % of Free Float jump to 20% from 13.2% in just seven days. That's a 6.8 percentage point…

1 min read