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Three distinct signals on IVZ collided this week, and they point in opposite directions. UBS nearly doubled its price target on Invesco. Short interest jumped 26% in a single day. Both things happened at the same time.
UBS made the most striking analyst call of the week on Invesco. The firm assumed coverage with a Buy rating and lifted its price target from $21 to $41, almost doubling its estimate. RBC Capital also raised its target, from $35 to $36, maintaining Outperform.
Not everyone agrees. TD Cowen trimmed its target from $39 to $38 on 12 October, keeping its Buy rating. Evercore ISI Group cut from $37 to $34 on 9 October, sticking with In-Line.
The consensus target across all analysts now sits at $34.61. The stock closed at $29.51 on 9 October, down 8.75% over the past month. Factor scores are supportive on the analyst side: the analyst recommendation differential ranks at the 90th percentile, and EPS momentum over 90 days sits at the 84th percentile.
Short interest rose 25.9% in a single session on 9 October. It stands at 3.6% of free float, up 53.6% over the past month. That is a meaningful move in pace, though the absolute level remains moderate.
The ORTEX short score jumped to 37.9 on 9 October, from 34.6 earlier in the week. That is the sharpest single-week move in the short score over the period covered by the data.
The borrow market remains loose. Availability stands at 6,968%, meaning roughly 70 shares are available to lend for every one already borrowed. Cost to borrow is 0.49%, categorised as low. Shorts are not paying up to get in.
One other piece of context: activist investor Nelson Peltz holds a 13D position in Invesco, as last disclosed at 4.62% of the class in May 2025. That filing is over a year old. Per Schedule 13D/G rules, the stake is "as last disclosed" and Peltz could have moved below 5% without filing again.
Insider activity over the past 90 days leaned toward selling. The CFO, Laura Allison Dukes, sold over $1 million worth of shares on 4 September. Senior Managing Director Andrew Tak Shing Lo sold more than $4.6 million across two days in early September. Net insider selling over the 90-day window reached approximately $7.2 million.
Earnings are due 27 October, 15 days away.
See the live data behind this article on ORTEX.
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