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Market Commentary

China Leads as Equities Swamp Bonds This Week

By ORTEX News · Edited by , Editor, ORTEX NewsUpdated 3 min read

Produced automatically from ORTEX data and published under the ORTEX News editorial standards set by Peter Hillerberg, Editor, ORTEX News. How we publish

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China ETFs pulled in $25.1B in the past week, the biggest single geography inflow in the period. That beat the US ($20.8B) despite the US market being roughly 15 times larger by assets under management. The buying pressure was strong too: China's flow imbalance hit 82.4 out of 100. Over three months, China has drawn $57.9B in net flows. That is a durable trend, not a one-week blip.

Japan flipped sharply. It took in $4.5B this week, but over three months it has shed $21.8B in net outflows, one of the clearest trend reversals in the data. Machine tool orders in Japan surged 46% year-on-year in September 2026 to JPY 63,929 million, according to ORTEX Alt Data, which may be contributing to short-term optimism. But the three-month picture suggests investors have been reducing longer-dated exposure.

Geography Flows

Taiwan attracted $4.3B this week (imbalance: 91.8), making it the most one-sided inflow in the geography table. South Korea added $1.9B. Both markets have now recorded consistent buying over the full three-month window too, with Taiwan up $18.1B and South Korea up $5.5B in net terms.

Outflows were small but telling. Brazil shed $335M this week, reversing a $4.9B three-month inflow. North America ex-US also saw $452M leave. Europe drew a modest $221M this week. Over three months, Developed Europe has collected $6.8B, but the weekly pace has slowed. EU air passenger traffic hit a four-year April low of 128.7 million in April 2026, per ORTEX Alt Data, a backdrop that is not helping Europe's near-term growth narrative.

Sector Rotation

Information Technology topped sector inflows at $2.6B this week. Health Care added $648M and Energy brought in $573M. Those three sectors have all posted positive flows over three months as well, confirming direction rather than divergence.

The sharp flip is in Financials. It drew $884M this week. Over three months, however, Financials has bled $9.5B in net outflows, the worst sector number in the data by a wide margin. The weekly reading is a small bounce inside a larger exit. Materials also reversed: it shed $637M this week but posted a positive $785M over three months. That points to short-term caution on commodities and basic resources, even if the longer trend was supportive.

Industrials lost $373M this week and $1.5B over three months. Consumer Discretionary dropped $364M this week, extending a $1.2B three-month outflow. Utilities and Real Estate both posted red numbers on the week despite positive three-month readings, another sign that defensive and rate-sensitive sectors are losing near-term momentum.

Asset Class and Strategy

Equity ETFs dominated at $64.4B in net inflows this week, dwarfing all other asset classes. Fixed Income brought in $4.2B. Commodities were nearly flat at $113M. Over three months, Fixed Income has collected $285.7B in net flows compared to $536.5B for equities. The bond bid is real but clearly secondary to the equity trade.

Currency ETFs saw $1.1B in outflows this week, though they were positive over three months at $6.9B. That weekly reversal is worth watching.

On strategy, Vanilla passive funds led at $43.9B this week. Active strategies added $6.5B. Growth ETFs attracted $3.6B this week with an imbalance of 83.3, the strongest conviction reading in the strategy table. Value added $1.2B. Over three months, Active funds have pulled in $159.3B, nearly as much as Vanilla on a relative basis. The shift toward actively managed ETFs is one of the cleaner trends in the three-month data.

Momentum strategies bled $3.8B over three months despite a small $101M gain this week. That is a notable reversal for a factor that dominated in earlier periods.

The overall tone is firmly risk-on. Equities are winning, growth is beating defensives, and Asia is absorbing the most aggressive buying. The bond market is picking up flows but not competing with equities for attention.

How this article was generated

Generated
5 Nov 2026, 08:01
Prompt version
v1.0
Data sources
Institutional positioningORTEX Alpha signalsAlt DataIndex Rebalance

ORTEX Market Intelligence content is generated by AI from a snapshot of ORTEX's proprietary data and reviewed by the ORTEX team. Content is informational only and does not constitute investment advice.