Trader notes, earnings previews, Confluences, weekly digests and roundups — long-form analysis grounded in ORTEX short interest, options flow and analyst data.
Earnings Preview — 6848 total
Spotify enters its November 3 earnings report with short sellers pulling back at a pace that stands 3.6 standard deviations below the stock's typical weekly move: short interest has collapsed 35% over the past week to…
YUMC reports Q3 results on November 3, trading at $45.78 against an analyst consensus target of $62.07, a 35% gap that makes the print a direct test of whether the Street's optimism on China's consumer recovery has any…
DuPont de Nemours enters its November 3 earnings release with short sellers pulling back sharply, even as the analyst community has been quietly marking down its price targets across the board. Short interest in DuPont…
Block, Inc. held up better than most of its fintech cohort over the past week, falling just 0.3% against a median decline of around 1.4% across its closest correlated peers. ADYEN dropped 14.5% on the week and MQ lost…
ZTS closed Friday at $79.72, down 1.6% on the week, roughly in line with the median move across its closest peers, but the stock has recovered 13% over the past month after a brutal year-to-date drawdown that once…
MPLX gained 1.7% over the past week, trailing a median advance of 4.1% across its closest midstream peers. EPD rose nearly 7% in the same period, WMB added 6%, and ET climbed more than 4%, leaving MPLX at the quieter…
GMED fell 4.1% over the past week while the median move among its closest correlated peers was just -0.5%, making it the clear laggard in a group that largely held its ground. Short interest in Globus Medical is…
Marathon Petroleum bounced 2.8% on Friday to close at $444.73, recovering some of the 2.7% lost over the past week, a week in which its closest refining peers dropped a median of roughly 5.4%. That relative resilience…
Ecopetrol reports Q3 results on November 3, and the most striking pre-earnings move came from the analyst community rather than from short sellers or options traders. Jefferies upgraded the Colombian state oil company…
Penske Automotive Group is a luxury-heavy auto dealer in the final weeks before its November 3 earnings release, with the company already operating under an agreed all-cash takeover by its two largest shareholders,…
CQP options traders are positioned more optimistically than usual into Tuesday's earnings release. The put/call ratio has dropped to 0.30, well below its 20-day average of 0.35 and near the lower end of the past year's…
Broadridge Financial Solutions drifted 2.4% lower over the past week, a shallower decline than the median peer drop of roughly 3.5%. ADP fell 3.4%, PCTY lost 3.5%, and TRU shed nearly 5.8% over the same stretch,…
Leidos Holdings is the least shorted name in its immediate peer group heading into Monday's Q3 print, with short interest at 3.3% of free float against a more crowded backdrop among government IT peers. Among the…
Ternium S.A. reports Q3 results on November 3, and the options market has grown more defensive since the company's preliminary data release last week, while the stock has shed 5.7% over the past five days against a…
Fidelity National Information Services reports third-quarter results on November 3, and the clearest signal going into the print is in options: put demand has jumped sharply relative to its recent norm, even as the…
InterContinental Hotels Group reports its next set of results on November 3, with the stock up 3% over the past week and borrowing costs rising sharply in the run-up to the print. The most notable shift in the lending…
AIZ gained 2.8% in the past week, comfortably ahead of its closest insurance peers. AFG rose 2.2%, CB added 2.5%, and ALL gained 2.6%, while HIG and HG both slipped more than 3%. The relative outperformance extends a…
TEVA options markets are sending an unusually bullish signal three days before the November 3 Q3 results, with the put/call ratio dropping to 0.49, more than one standard deviation below its 20-day average of 0.52 and…
Yum! Brands enters Tuesday's Q3 earnings release with short sellers holding their largest position in at least a year, even as the stock has gained ground and analysts continue trimming their targets. Short interest…
WAT heads into its November 3 earnings release with analysts increasingly constructive but options traders signalling more caution than usual ahead of what amounts to the first real read-through on the BD life science…
