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Confluence761 total

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ConfluenceXLY

XLY Shorts Retreat — But Put Buyers Aren't Convinced

XLY is sending mixed signals. Short sellers have cut their positions sharply. Yet options traders are still piling into downside protection at an extreme rate. Since the July 22 note flagged shorts rebuilding alongside…

1 min read
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ConfluenceUSFD

USFD Put Buyers Hedge Ahead of Aug. 6 Earnings

Options traders are piling into puts on USFD even as short sellers retreat. The divergence sets up an interesting pre-earnings picture for US Foods Holding Corp. The put-call ratio hit 1.38 on July 28. That is 2.14…

1 min read
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ConfluenceEQNR

EQNR: Short Sellers Exit as Options Hedging Spikes

Three distinct signals aligned on EQNR over the past 48 hours. Short interest fell sharply. Borrow costs rose. The put/call ratio hit a 52-week extreme. Together, they paint an unusual picture for the Norwegian energy…

1 min read
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ConfluenceT

AT&T Options Signal Deepens as Shorts Continue to Exit

AT&T has climbed 10.8% in a week to $24.66. The options market is now more call-heavy than at any point in the past year. Short sellers are still closing positions. All three signals are moving in the same…

1 min read
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ConfluenceSPY

SPY Put-Call Ratio Spikes as Shorts Complete Their Exit

Options traders turned sharply defensive on Tuesday. SPY put-call ratio jumped to 1.99 — a z-score of 2.14, the highest in weeks. That's happening even as the short sellers who drove the prior cycle have nearly…

1 min read
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ConfluenceREXR

REXR Options Flare Bullish as Bears Keep Retreating

Three data streams on REXR are now pointing the same direction. Call buyers have surged in. Short sellers continue to exit. The borrow market has loosened dramatically. Post-earnings, the picture looks notably more…

1 min read
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ConfluenceWBD

WBD Options Hedging Spikes as Earnings Loom

Options traders are loading up on downside protection. The put-call ratio hit 2.08 on July 27 — a two-week high with a Z-score of 2.24 against the 20-day mean of 1.99. Earnings are due August 7. The stock closed at…

1 min read
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ConfluenceUNG

UNG Short Sellers Keep Running

The bear retreat in UNG has deepened further. Short interest has now fallen to 5.6% of free float, down 29% week-on-week. That extends the unwind flagged in last week's note, which itself had already pulled back from…

1 min read
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ConfluenceIONQ

IonQ Borrow Pool Near Empty as Short Interest Climbs to 14%

The lending market for IONQ has reached a critical point. Availability has collapsed to just 1.25% — meaning only one share is available to borrow for every 80 already lent out. That is a 95% drop in a single week. At…

1 min read
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ConfluenceXLC

XLC Options Sentiment Shifts as Short Unwind Matures

The XLC Communication Services ETF is sending a consistent message across three data streams. Bears have been retreating for weeks. Now options traders are joining that view. The put-call ratio dropped to 5.22 on July…

1 min read
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ConfluenceCTSH

CTSH shorts cover fast as earnings loom July 29

Short sellers have cut their CTSH position by 15.2% in a single week. The stock gained 5.7% in the same period. With earnings due July 29, options traders are leaning bullish — but analysts keep trimming targets. Short…

1 min read
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ConfluenceDHI

DHI Shorts Re-Enter as Post-Earnings Hedging Persists

Three separate data streams are now pointing the same direction on D.R. Horton. Short interest jumped, options hedging held elevated, and the cost to borrow ticked higher — all within the same week that the stock fell…

1 min read
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ConfluenceBCH

BCH Shorts Retreat as Borrow Costs Hit June Lows

Short sellers are stepping back from BCH at pace. Borrow costs halved in a week. Availability has opened up sharply. And options positioning has shifted — all as earnings loom on July 31. Short interest in Banco de…

1 min read
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ConfluenceGFI

GFI Bears Get Active — But Ample Borrow Cushions the Move

Three signals converged on GFI this week. Short interest jumped sharply. The put-call ratio hit a near four-week high. Analysts cut price targets. Yet the lending market remains wide open — a nuance worth…

1 min read