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ConfluenceLVWR

LVWR Borrow Market Hits Zero as CTB Rockets to 588%

LVWR just became one of the hardest stocks to borrow in the market. The lending pool is completely exhausted. Short sellers are now paying 588% annually to maintain positions. Availability has collapsed to 0%. Every…

1 min read
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Trader NoteCIFR

CIFR Drops 28% as Sector Sells Off — Earnings Loom

CIFR enters its August 4 earnings print having shed 28% in a single week, dragged down by a sector-wide bitcoin mining rout — but with analysts still pointing to prices nearly double where the stock trades today. The…

1 min read
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Trader NoteKORU

KORU's Options Pivot Reverses as Borrow Tightens Again

The brief window of calm that opened in KORU's lending market last week has slammed shut — and the options market has done a sharp U-turn to match. The most significant reversal is in availability. A week ago, the…

1 min read

Apple, Amazon Headline Earnings Crunch as Oil Bulls Cheer

The biggest event today is AAPL and AMZN reporting after the close. Apple carries a $4.97 trillion market cap into the print. Amazon follows at $2.44 trillion. In Europe, Sanofi already posted results alongside ING…

1 min read

Bears Circle Meta and Energy Ahead of Earnings

Options markets are flashing clear warning signs for META as the tech giant prepares to report Q2 2026 results. Wall Street skepticism is "rampant," according to one note cited in today's headlines. META's RSI sits at…

1 min read

Big Tech Leads Packed Earnings Week

AAPL and AMZN headline a busy week of results. Both report today after the close. Apple carries a $4.97 trillion market cap into its print. Amazon follows at $2.44 trillion. Today's reports include BFAM Bright Horizons…

1 min read

Analysts Cut Robinhood, Vertiv Targets

Analysts trimmed targets across financial and tech names on Wednesday, with Robinhood Markets and Vertiv Holdings drawing the most attention. Robinhood's consensus target fell to $120.13 from $121.86. The fintech…

1 min read

Executives Cash Out as Insiders Unload Millions

Filings this week show a wave of insider selling across several high-profile US companies. The biggest theme: executives at GM, Tenet Healthcare, and Broadcom all hit the sell button within days of each other. GM CEO…

1 min read

Money Flows to US and Japan, ESG Falls Out of Favour

US-listed ETFs pulled in $37B net in the past week alone. That tops every other geography by a wide margin. The flow imbalance sits at 70.5, a clear buying-pressure signal. Over three months, the US haul reaches $373B,…

1 min read
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ConfluenceXLP

XLP Bears Retreat as Short Covering Accelerates

The story that defined XLP a week ago has reversed sharply. Short interest has collapsed 39% in one week to 9.84% of free float. That's a dramatic unwind from the 16.2% reading flagged in last week's note. The speed of…

1 min read

Bears, Mega-Caps, and a PCE Surprise

Core PCE inflation came in at just 0.1% month-on-month in June. That is the Fed's preferred price gauge — and it is running cold. Futures rallied on the print. AAPL and AMZN both report after the close today. With a…

1 min read

Big Week: Apple, Amazon Lead Earnings Blitz

Today is one of the busiest days of the earnings season. AAPL reports after the close with a $5 trillion market cap on the line. AMZN also reports today after the bell, with investors watching cloud growth closely. BMY…

1 min read

Analysts Cut Carvana and Vertiv Targets

Analysts trimmed targets on several high-profile names today. The moves span industrials, tech infrastructure, and insurance. CVNA drew a target price cut, with the consensus average falling to $86.48 from $89.83. The…

1 min read

Executives Cash Out as Buyers Stay Quiet

A wave of insider selling hit filings this week. General Motors CEO Mary Barra filed yesterday, disclosing she sold 54,866 shares on July 27. The sale totalled $4.7 million at $85.32 per share. Two other GM insiders —…

1 min read

Bears Circle Chewy as Car Rentals Bleed

Short sellers turned aggressive on CHWY this week. Short interest as a % of free float jumped 14 points in seven days — from 66% to 80%. That is a massive move. Bears are clearly betting the pet retail rally has run…

1 min read
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ConfluenceTWO

TWO's Put-Call Ratio Hits Record as Earnings Loom

Options traders are making the loudest call on Two Harbors Investment Corp. heading into August 4 earnings. The put-call ratio hit 5.66 on July 29 — a 52-week high, sitting 2.3 standard deviations above its 20-day mean…

1 min read

Mega-Cap Earnings Week Meets Trade Turbulence

The busiest earnings week of 2026 is underway. MSFT reports tonight at 5:30 PM ET, with Azure cloud growth the key metric. AAPL and AMZN follow Thursday — any Apple guidance on China iPhone demand will move markets.…

1 min read

Analysts Slash Targets on FICO, Carvana

Analysts trimmed price targets across several major names today. The moves follow a busy earnings week that left some targets looking stretched. FICO drew notable attention. Analysts cut the average target to $1,499…

1 min read

Executives Cash Out While One Bets Big on Groceries

Insiders filed a flurry of significant trades this week. The clearest sell-off came from THC. Three Tenet Healthcare insiders — including the Chief Information Officer and two independent directors — collectively…

1 min read