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Confluence968 total

UF
ConfluenceUFO

UFO Borrow Market Tightens Fast as Short Interest Hits 40%

The Procure Space ETF UFO has seen a dramatic shift in its lending market over the past week. Short interest has climbed to 40.4% of free float — and availability has collapsed with it. Short interest sat near 5% of…

1 min read
VF
ConfluenceVFS

VFS Borrow Market Hits Maximum Tightness

Why this matters: Every share of VFS available to lend is now out on loan. The borrow pool hit maximum tightness on July 30. Cost to borrow has jumped 66% in a week. Availability for VinFast Auto has collapsed. As of…

1 min read
LV
ConfluenceLVWR

LVWR Borrow Market Hits Zero as CTB Rockets to 588%

LVWR just became one of the hardest stocks to borrow in the market. The lending pool is completely exhausted. Short sellers are now paying 588% annually to maintain positions. Availability has collapsed to 0%. Every…

1 min read
XL
ConfluenceXLP

XLP Bears Retreat as Short Covering Accelerates

The story that defined XLP a week ago has reversed sharply. Short interest has collapsed 39% in one week to 9.84% of free float. That's a dramatic unwind from the 16.2% reading flagged in last week's note. The speed of…

1 min read
TW
ConfluenceTWO

TWO's Put-Call Ratio Hits Record as Earnings Loom

Options traders are making the loudest call on Two Harbors Investment Corp. heading into August 4 earnings. The put-call ratio hit 5.66 on July 29 — a 52-week high, sitting 2.3 standard deviations above its 20-day mean…

1 min read
CV
ConfluenceCVLG

CVLG Options Signal Unusual Put Activity Before Earnings

Three distinct signals are converging on CVLG — Covenant Logistics Group — the night before its Q2 earnings print. The options market is the standout story. The lending data tells a contradictory tale. The put/call…

1 min read
XL
ConfluenceXLY

XLY Shorts Retreat — But Put Buyers Aren't Convinced

XLY is sending mixed signals. Short sellers have cut their positions sharply. Yet options traders are still piling into downside protection at an extreme rate. Since the July 22 note flagged shorts rebuilding alongside…

1 min read
US
ConfluenceUSFD

USFD Put Buyers Hedge Ahead of Aug. 6 Earnings

Options traders are piling into puts on USFD even as short sellers retreat. The divergence sets up an interesting pre-earnings picture for US Foods Holding Corp. The put-call ratio hit 1.38 on July 28. That is 2.14…

1 min read
EQ
ConfluenceEQNR

EQNR: Short Sellers Exit as Options Hedging Spikes

Three distinct signals aligned on EQNR over the past 48 hours. Short interest fell sharply. Borrow costs rose. The put/call ratio hit a 52-week extreme. Together, they paint an unusual picture for the Norwegian energy…

1 min read
T
ConfluenceT

AT&T Options Signal Deepens as Shorts Continue to Exit

AT&T has climbed 10.8% in a week to $24.66. The options market is now more call-heavy than at any point in the past year. Short sellers are still closing positions. All three signals are moving in the same…

1 min read
SP
ConfluenceSPY

SPY Put-Call Ratio Spikes as Shorts Complete Their Exit

Options traders turned sharply defensive on Tuesday. SPY put-call ratio jumped to 1.99 — a z-score of 2.14, the highest in weeks. That's happening even as the short sellers who drove the prior cycle have nearly…

1 min read
RE
ConfluenceREXR

REXR Options Flare Bullish as Bears Keep Retreating

Three data streams on REXR are now pointing the same direction. Call buyers have surged in. Short sellers continue to exit. The borrow market has loosened dramatically. Post-earnings, the picture looks notably more…

1 min read
WB
ConfluenceWBD

WBD Options Hedging Spikes as Earnings Loom

Options traders are loading up on downside protection. The put-call ratio hit 2.08 on July 27 — a two-week high with a Z-score of 2.24 against the 20-day mean of 1.99. Earnings are due August 7. The stock closed at…

1 min read
UN
ConfluenceUNG

UNG Short Sellers Keep Running

The bear retreat in UNG has deepened further. Short interest has now fallen to 5.6% of free float, down 29% week-on-week. That extends the unwind flagged in last week's note, which itself had already pulled back from…

1 min read
IO
ConfluenceIONQ

IonQ Borrow Pool Near Empty as Short Interest Climbs to 14%

The lending market for IONQ has reached a critical point. Availability has collapsed to just 1.25% — meaning only one share is available to borrow for every 80 already lent out. That is a 95% drop in a single week. At…

1 min read
XL
ConfluenceXLC

XLC Options Sentiment Shifts as Short Unwind Matures

The XLC Communication Services ETF is sending a consistent message across three data streams. Bears have been retreating for weeks. Now options traders are joining that view. The put-call ratio dropped to 5.22 on July…

1 min read
CT
ConfluenceCTSH

CTSH shorts cover fast as earnings loom July 29

Short sellers have cut their CTSH position by 15.2% in a single week. The stock gained 5.7% in the same period. With earnings due July 29, options traders are leaning bullish — but analysts keep trimming targets. Short…

1 min read