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Confluence761 total

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ConfluenceSOXQ

SOXQ Borrow Eases, But Options Sentiment Stays Bullish

SOXQ has seen a rapid reversal in borrow conditions since Tuesday. The availability squeeze that defined last week has partially unwound. Options traders, meanwhile, have pressed further into bullish territory. Why…

1 min read
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ConfluenceIQV

IQV Options Skew Flags Caution Into Monday's Print

Options traders are leaning bearish on IQV ahead of Q2 results due July 28. The put-call ratio sits at 1.16 — nearly two standard deviations above its 20-day mean of 0.92. That's the clearest signal in the current…

1 min read
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ConfluenceSPCX

SPCX: The Borrow Pool Is Almost Gone

SPCX availability has hit 4.4% — the tightest level since listing. Bears keep adding. The pool has nearly run dry. Two weeks ago, availability stood at 28%. Last week it was 7.6%. Today it is 4.4%. That is not a trend.…

1 min read
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ConfluenceSTT

State Street: Analysts Pile In After Q2 Beat

Eight firms raised price targets on STT in the week following Q2 results. That wave of upgrades is now the dominant force shaping the stock's data profile — and three signals have converged to confirm it. The scale of…

1 min read
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ConfluenceCBRS

CBRS Borrow Market Tightens Again as Short Interest Climbs

Cerebras Systems looked like it was catching a break. Borrow availability had recovered to roughly 11.5% earlier this week. Now that relief has reversed sharply — availability has collapsed back to 5.4%, down 42% in a…

1 min read
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ConfluenceTSLL

TSLL Borrow Market Hits Near-Zero as Short Interest Jumps 24%

The lending market for TSLL — Direxion's 2X leveraged daily Tesla bull ETF — has reached an extreme. Availability has collapsed to 0.12%, meaning roughly one share remains available to borrow for every 800 already lent…

1 min read
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ConfluenceNKLR

NKLR Options Sentiment Flips as Shorts Retreat

A sharp one-day drop in short interest is coinciding with an unusually bullish swing in options positioning. Together, the signals suggest NKLR — Terra Innovatum Global N.V. — may be entering a different phase after…

1 min read
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ConfluenceEFX

EFX Bears Dig In as Borrow Cost Doubles

Why this matters: Equifax is trading at $170.45, down 20% YTD and 24.7% below the analyst consensus target. Since the Q2 earnings beat on July 15, bears have rebuilt aggressively. Three separate signals now confirm the…

1 min read
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ConfluenceTWLO

TWLO: Analysts Lift Targets as Stock Drops 13%

A wave of analyst upgrades pushed price targets sharply higher this week. The stock, meanwhile, fell 13% — and options traders are hedging. That divergence is the story. Five firms raised their targets on TWLO between…

1 min read
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ConfluenceWFC

WFC Options Caution Rises as Stock Slips from Recovery High

Wells Fargo pulled back 1.5% on Wednesday to $86.42. Options traders are the most defensive they've been in two weeks. The put/call ratio hit 1.38 on July 22. That's 2.2 standard deviations above its 20-day mean of…

1 min read
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ConfluenceASST

ASST: Options Bulls, Borrow Desert

Why this matters: Three distinct signals are converging on ASST — Strive, Inc. — at once. Options traders are making aggressive bullish bets. The borrow market has been bone-dry for weeks. And short interest has…

1 min read
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ConfluenceMUFG

MUFG Borrow Market Tightens as Bulls Flood Options

Two forces are pulling in opposite directions on MUFG. Short sellers are scrambling to hold existing positions as the borrow market dries up. Options traders, meanwhile, have never been more bullish on the stock. That…

1 min read
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ConfluenceUAL

UAL: Post-Earnings Unwind as Bulls Take the Wheel

United Airlines Holdings stock fell after Q2 results disappointed. Now the data shows a clear shift — bears are retreating and options traders are turning bullish. The pre-earnings short build is unwinding. SI now…

1 min read
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ConfluenceZTS

Zoetis Bears Pile In Ahead of August Earnings

Options traders and short sellers are converging on ZTS from multiple angles. The stock has dropped 4.3% over the past month. Earnings land on August 5. The loudest signal here is the relentless analyst price-target…

1 min read
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ConfluenceSKYY

SKYY Borrow Hits Max as Four Signals Align

Four distinct pressure signals converged on SKYY on Tuesday. The lending market, options tape, short positioning, and cost-to-borrow are all moving simultaneously — an unusual alignment for a cloud computing ETF. The…

1 min read
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ConfluenceSKYY

SKYY Options Demand Spikes as Borrow Market Tightens

Options traders are buying downside protection on SKYY at an unusual rate. The put/call ratio hit 0.64 on July 21. That is 2.85 standard deviations above the 20-day mean of 0.49. The ETF tracks cloud computing stocks.…

1 min read
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ConfluenceXLRE

XLRE options turn defensive as shorts finish covering

Why this matters: Three separate signals have moved on XLRE in the same week. Short sellers are nearly done covering. Borrowing costs are rising despite a looser lending pool. And options traders just turned the most…

1 min read